INSIGHT PUBLISHED IN ADVANCE
Osasuna — Santander
Kick-off: · Romania time
Osasuna to win68.5%
First published: · 35.0h before kick-off
The statistical selection for Osasuna — Santander is “Osasuna to win”. It has the highest model probability among eligible markets; this is not an assessment of value against bookmaker odds.
In 4 home matches in this competition, Osasuna averaged 0.50 goals scored and 0.75 conceded. In 4 away matches, Santander averaged 1.00 scored and 4.00 conceded.
The attacking and defensive averages imply 2.25 expected home goals and 0.88 expected away goals. The estimated probability of a home win is 68.5%.
Small sample: fewer than 10 matches for at least one team. Simple, uncalibrated statistical model. Injuries, squads, odds and breaking news are not included. Outcomes are not guaranteed.
football-data.org · Data available at publication: 17 Oct 2026, 04:02
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