PD
Villarreal — Elche
Over 2.5 goals70.2%
These averages imply 3.63 expected goals in total. The Poisson distribution gives a 70.2% estimated probability of at least three goals.
Published
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Read football predictions explained through team form and goal averages, published at least 12 hours before kick-off.
DED
Den Haag — PSV
Over 2.5 goals81.2%
These averages imply 4.38 expected goals in total. The Poisson distribution gives a 81.2% estimated probability of at least three goals.
Published
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Newcastle — Aston Villa
Over 2.5 goals64.7%
These averages imply 3.33 expected goals in total. The Poisson distribution gives a 64.7% estimated probability of at least three goals.
Published
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Real Betis — Barça
Over 2.5 goals72.3%
These averages imply 3.75 expected goals in total. The Poisson distribution gives a 72.3% estimated probability of at least three goals.
Published
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Telstar — Feyenoord
Feyenoord to win82.0%
The attacking and defensive averages imply 1.00 expected home goals and 3.38 expected away goals. The estimated probability of an away win is 82.0%.
Published
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Troyes — RC Lens
Over 2.5 goals64.7%
These averages imply 3.33 expected goals in total. The Poisson distribution gives a 64.7% estimated probability of at least three goals.
Published
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Sparta — Willem II
Over 2.5 goals76.2%
These averages imply 4.00 expected goals in total. The Poisson distribution gives a 76.2% estimated probability of at least three goals.
Published
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Mineiro — Coritiba
Mineiro to win58.3%
The attacking and defensive averages imply 1.95 expected home goals and 1.05 expected away goals. The estimated probability of a home win is 58.3%.
Published
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Zwolle — Go Ahead
Over 2.5 goals78.0%
These averages imply 4.13 expected goals in total. The Poisson distribution gives a 78.0% estimated probability of at least three goals.
Published
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Udinese — Lecce
Under 2.5 goals67.7%
These averages imply 2.00 expected goals in total. The Poisson distribution gives a 67.7% estimated probability of at most two goals.
Published
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Osasuna — Santander
Osasuna to win68.5%
The attacking and defensive averages imply 2.25 expected home goals and 0.88 expected away goals. The estimated probability of a home win is 68.5%.
Published
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Cambuur — AZ
Over 2.5 goals78.0%
These averages imply 4.13 expected goals in total. The Poisson distribution gives a 78.0% estimated probability of at least three goals.
Published
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Bournemouth — Sunderland
Both teams to score · Yes65.3%
The model estimates 1.83 goals for the home team and 1.50 for the away team. Combining these distributions gives a 65.3% probability that both teams score.
Published
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Leeds United — Man United
Leeds United to win57.2%
The attacking and defensive averages imply 1.67 expected home goals and 0.83 expected away goals. The estimated probability of a home win is 57.2%.
Published
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Brighton Hove — Crystal Palace
Brighton Hove to win68.8%
The attacking and defensive averages imply 2.00 expected home goals and 0.67 expected away goals. The estimated probability of a home win is 68.8%.
Published
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Fiorentina — Como 1907
Como 1907 to win58.9%
The attacking and defensive averages imply 0.96 expected home goals and 1.88 expected away goals. The estimated probability of an away win is 58.9%.
Published
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Angers SCO — Marseille
Under 2.5 goals67.7%
These averages imply 2.00 expected goals in total. The Poisson distribution gives a 67.7% estimated probability of at most two goals.
Published
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Groningen — Ajax
Over 2.5 goals74.3%
These averages imply 3.88 expected goals in total. The Poisson distribution gives a 74.3% estimated probability of at least three goals.
Published
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Le Havre — Auxerre
Over 2.5 goals64.7%
These averages imply 3.33 expected goals in total. The Poisson distribution gives a 64.7% estimated probability of at least three goals.
Published
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Nottingham — Arsenal
Under 2.5 goals84.9%
These averages imply 1.33 expected goals in total. The Poisson distribution gives a 84.9% estimated probability of at most two goals.
Published
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Málaga — Real Sociedad
Both teams to score · Yes60.4%
The model estimates 1.50 goals for the home team and 1.50 for the away team. Combining these distributions gives a 60.4% probability that both teams score.
Published
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Twente — Utrecht
Over 2.5 goals70.2%
These averages imply 3.63 expected goals in total. The Poisson distribution gives a 70.2% estimated probability of at least three goals.
Published
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NEC — Sittard
Over 2.5 goals67.9%
These averages imply 3.50 expected goals in total. The Poisson distribution gives a 67.9% estimated probability of at least three goals.
Published
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Juventus — Lazio
Under 2.5 goals67.7%
These averages imply 2.00 expected goals in total. The Poisson distribution gives a 67.7% estimated probability of at most two goals.
Published
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Real Madrid — Sevilla FC
Over 2.5 goals67.9%
These averages imply 3.50 expected goals in total. The Poisson distribution gives a 67.9% estimated probability of at least three goals.
Published
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Fluminense — Santos
Both teams to score · Yes60.1%
The model estimates 1.60 goals for the home team and 1.40 for the away team. Combining these distributions gives a 60.1% probability that both teams score.
Published
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Tottenham — Coventry City
Under 2.5 goals67.7%
These averages imply 2.00 expected goals in total. The Poisson distribution gives a 67.7% estimated probability of at most two goals.
Published
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Getafe — Rayo Vallecano
Getafe to win63.6%
The attacking and defensive averages imply 2.00 expected home goals and 0.88 expected away goals. The estimated probability of a home win is 63.6%.
Published
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Braga — Gil Vicente
Under 2.5 goals72.2%
These averages imply 1.83 expected goals in total. The Poisson distribution gives a 72.2% estimated probability of at most two goals.
Published
Read the full insight ↗18+ · Be responsible. Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.