INSIGHT PUBLISHED IN ADVANCE
Udinese — Lecce
Kick-off: · Romania time
Under 2.5 goals67.7%
First published: · 33.5h before kick-off
The statistical selection for Udinese — Lecce is “Under 2.5 goals”. It has the highest model probability among eligible markets; this is not an assessment of value against bookmaker odds.
In 3 home matches in this competition, Udinese averaged 0.67 goals scored and 1.33 conceded. In 3 away matches, Lecce averaged 0.67 scored and 1.33 conceded.
These averages imply 2.00 expected goals in total. The Poisson distribution gives a 67.7% estimated probability of at most two goals.
Small sample: fewer than 10 matches for at least one team. Simple, uncalibrated statistical model. Injuries, squads, odds and breaking news are not included. Outcomes are not guaranteed.
football-data.org · Data available at publication: 17 Oct 2026, 04:02
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