PD
Villarreal — Elche
Over 2.5 goals70.2%
These averages imply 3.63 expected goals in total. The Poisson distribution gives a 70.2% estimated probability of at least three goals.
Published
Read the full insight ↗YOUR DAILY FOOTBALL CHECK-IN
Today on PairBets
2026-10-19 · Romania time · saved fixture data; scores may be delayed.
7fixtures today
3insights for today
14 / 5won / lost yesterday
Yesterday: 19 graded · 0 pending · 0 void · 0 under review
Today’s fixtures
EC Bahia — CR Flamengo
BSA · 00:30 · Finished · 0–3
Clube do Remo — RB Bragantino
BSA · 01:30 · Finished · 1–1
AC Monza — Cagliari Calcio
SA · 19:30 · Scheduled
Parma Calcio 1913 — Torino FC
SA · 21:45 · Scheduled
Tottenham Hotspur FC — Coventry City FC
PL · 22:00 · Scheduled
Getafe CF — Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
PD · 22:00 · Scheduled
Sporting Clube de Braga — Gil Vicente FC
PPL · 22:15 · Scheduled
Latest source fetches
PL: 2026-10-19T04:13:17.753Z · PD: 2026-10-19T04:14:48.168Z · SA: 2026-10-19T04:14:53.852Z · BL1: 2026-10-19T04:14:58.242Z · FL1: 2026-10-19T04:15:03.308Z · CL: 2026-10-19T04:15:06.955Z · PPL: 2026-10-19T04:15:09.522Z · DED: 2026-10-19T04:15:12.410Z · ELC: 2026-10-19T04:15:17.245Z · BSA: 2026-10-19T04:15:20.817Z
FOOTBALL. DATA. PERSPECTIVE.
Football statistics.
Fixtures & probabilities.
Explore today’s football fixtures, team statistics, probability tools and a transparent record across 10 competitions on PairBets.
Explore match insights ↗10competitions covered
30insights in the active archive
12h+minimum publication lead time
Public record, validation in progress
30 published insights · 26 confirmed results · 4 pending · 0 void · 0 under review.
Hit rate uses only won and lost selections. A short record does not establish long-term performance.
Basic, uncalibrated Poisson model. No injuries, squads or odds. Percentages are estimates; without odds we do not measure betting value or profit.
Inspect the complete record ↗ · Method and limitations ↗Match insights
DED
Den Haag — PSV
Over 2.5 goals81.2%
These averages imply 4.38 expected goals in total. The Poisson distribution gives a 81.2% estimated probability of at least three goals.
Published
Read the full insight ↗PL
Newcastle — Aston Villa
Over 2.5 goals64.7%
These averages imply 3.33 expected goals in total. The Poisson distribution gives a 64.7% estimated probability of at least three goals.
Published
Read the full insight ↗PD
Real Betis — Barça
Over 2.5 goals72.3%
These averages imply 3.75 expected goals in total. The Poisson distribution gives a 72.3% estimated probability of at least three goals.
Published
Read the full insight ↗DED
Telstar — Feyenoord
Feyenoord to win82.0%
The attacking and defensive averages imply 1.00 expected home goals and 3.38 expected away goals. The estimated probability of an away win is 82.0%.
Published
Read the full insight ↗FL1
Troyes — RC Lens
Over 2.5 goals64.7%
These averages imply 3.33 expected goals in total. The Poisson distribution gives a 64.7% estimated probability of at least three goals.
Published
Read the full insight ↗18+ · Be responsible. Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.